A betting market that is being touted by Donald Trump’s supporters as proof that he will win the election has been manipulated by multi-million dollar wagers to make him appear certain of victory, experts are warning. Polymarket has become a viral phenomenon for showing high “percentage chances” of Trump winning, leading to it being widely quoted on X and elsewhere to show that a race that polls suggest is deadlocked is in fact extremely likely to go his way. At the time of writing, Polymarket says Trump has a 61.9 percent chance of beating Vice President Kamala Harris. Among those talking it up is Elon Musk, who has claimed the online market is more accurate than political polls, and boosted it on his X account. Another is Joe Kernen, the conservative-leaning CNBC Squawk Box co-host, who has repeatedly referenced it on air and on X.
via daily beast: Betting Market That Touts Massive Trump Win ‘Is Being Manipulated’: Experts